Friday, October 28, 2016

What Will Happen If We Cut Ties with the US

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First, what happens is that we lose an important economic ally. The US may not be our true friend and partner, but it's still an important economic ally to consider. All we have to remember is that a rift with the US may negatively affect investments, especially in relation to the business process outsourcing (BPO) industry which is responsible for employing a lot of Filipinos.

Second, think of the Filipinos in the US. Majority of us have families or relatives there. They may feel some serious repercussions of some sort, for sure. US visas will again be hard to come by and many Filipinos still looking up to America won't be able to bear that. They were brainwashed into thinking that America gives them life and that without going to the US they're doomed.

Third, we're still testing the waters as far as our new relations with China is concerned (and probably Russia in the near future). We need a fallback in case alliance with China doesn't work out. And if that happens (and if China is irked by our disapproval of her one-sided proposals), we need a leverage to make China think twice about bullying us again.

The only realistic thing that prevents China from going all-out with its aggression against us are US interests still lurking in our territories. Imagine what happens if all these investments are pulled out. What else would deter a China all-out offensive?

Of course, I don't believe the US will really protect us in case China attacks. All it will do is evacuate Americans from the country and then leave us to defend ourselves---just like what it did in World War II. The best it will do is probably an international press conference denouncing China's aggression against its "ally." Something like, "We denounce in the strongest possible terms..."

Though we know about this (that the US won't  really do anything to save us), the good thing is that for now China isn't too sure about it. As long as US interests are still here, they will always have second thoughts about a US intervention. China thinks US interests here are the aces up our sleeves. And that's a blessing to us. The US has been bluffing China about coming to our rescue if it decides to attack us, and we've been playing along with this bluff, too.

And China seems to be buying it. But for how long? Well, as long as we have US interests in our country.

Moreover, it is known internationally how the US is just aching to start a war in Southeast Asia so it can sell war paraphernalia to countries affected like the PH, Vietnam, Malaysia and probably even Taiwan. Its failing economy needs fresh sources of refunding and profits from war have always been a good source of revenues for the US economy, especially now that it has outstanding debts with China.

Believe it or not, the US creates offshore wars to keep its armaments business alive.

Fourth, the US is a close ally of Japan. If we cut ties with the US, I doubt if Japan would give us any thought if China attacks.

So there.

But you see, we don't really need to cut ties with any nation. In fact, it's foolish to do so since we are not a powerful nation to contend with. Just open your eyes to see that we're nothing compared to China. I really doubt if it will conclude any agreement with us as its equal. It will always propose one-sided ventures, all in its favor, just like how many Chinese businesses (not all though) do not see their Filipino "partners" as equals.

As it is, it "allows" our fishermen partial access to the West Philippine Sea. It's crystal clear that China exercises sovereignty in ALL of the West Philippine Sea.

The only practical thing we can do is to befriend as many countries as possible so we can have leverage against big players in international politics. Why not keep our "special" relations with the US at the same time that we also build "special" relations with the rest---even with China and Russia or even Mars and Pluto, for that matter?

Alliance with super powers is not the problem. The problem is when we allow ourselves to be their slave and underdog in our treaties with them. The real problem with our relations with the US is that we have been quietly approving their lopsided policies that render them practically our masters, and that for decades now.

We're still immature with the way we choose our diplomats who'd bargain for us at the bargaining table. Our officials say nothing there but "Yes sir!"

We have to relate with other nations on equal footing, as a sovereign state with another. We can always reject anything unfair with their proposals and yet at the same time still be in "special" friendly relations with them.

This is what Duterte should do, instead of making outright pronouncements about cutting ties or "separating" from certain countries, especially those that have been our allies.

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